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I have seen several 3-D models of flat screens in the last year, at CES in Las Vegas, and more recently, at a local line show. I have a pretty good sense of what drives our industry, and 3-D is pretty much a swing and a miss. The underlying technology has been tried and failed on the consumers since the 50's. Wait. Not ready.
Why don't I like the current product. Glad you asked!
It's not backwards compatible, so you will need a new 3-D panel, new 3-D receiver to switch between source(s) , probably new HDMI cables (v1.4 is current, and supposed to be 3-D compliant), and a 3-D BluRay player. Oh, and 3-D glasses. These aren't the el-cheapo paper ones your dad and mom wore, btw... They are the state of the art, rechargeable (yea they are powered), over-sized shades of futuristic sci-fi movies. They will currently set you back about $145-160 each pair.
So for that 3-D Super Bowl party with 8-15 people... well you get my point!
Our industry is known to shoot itself in the foot quite often and here is another example.
The 3-D glasses and TV panels are proprietary in design. What that means is your S*ny glasses wont work with your friends S*amsung panel and vice versa.
You would think they all could have worked out a common standard and built the 3-D platform based on this, but no such luck. Make a commitment to a particular brand and stick, I guess, is the mantra here.
Another issue is they work on refresh rate and the picture on the screen will be mostly unusable to anyone not wearing the glasses. Most of the technology requires you to be watching 3-D glasses horizontal to the picture on the screen. If you are lying on the floor or couch watching something with your head tilted sideways, they don't work.
3)Limited content (at least for now)
I remember a song from Spingsteen about 57 channels (and nothin' on). This is the case with 3-D too, I'm sorry to say. There just isn't very much out there for the consumer to watch, at least yet. Hollywood seems to be a little excited about the media (again) but that still might only equate to 10-15 titles/year until more equipment is installed in peoples homes.So really not a market, when you think of the investment the movie industry will have to make to produce the 3-D movies. There are rumors of cable networks showing occasional events in 3-D, but see #2 above. They aren't going to commit a broadcast to the 3-D tv's that only make up a small percentage of the market.Remember that the picture is pretty much, non-usable to someone without a 3DTV and glasses. Not much motivation to carry a 3rd set of broadcast channels either (HD, digital, and 3D)
So, while I think that 3-D will move strongly into gaming, it will be slow or non-existent on tv programming and movies.
Based on initial costs, I advise clients to spend the money on a great 2-D TV and sound. Let the industry refine the product and buy it then.
Remember the HDTV crossover only took 10 years...